2020 Workday Charity Open: Muirfield Village Back To Back

Justin Rose and Jack Nicklaus

This weeks 2020 Workday Charity Open will be the first of 2 consecutive PGA Tour events being held at the same course. This is the first time this has ever happened on tour and it raises some questions. How will the course differ from week 1 to week 2? Will the leaderboard look similar both weeks? Will we have a back to back winner at Muirfield Village?

Muirfield Village, our host for the next two weeks, is one of the most popular courses among the players. Designed by Jack Nicklaus, Muirfield typically rewards the golfers with the best iron play for the week. With 3 par 3’s over 200 yards and long par 4’s with demanding second shots, strokes gained on approach shots will be a key statistic to keep an eye on.

Once again we have a stacked field including 7 of the top 15 players in the world. Big names like John Rahm, Justin Thomas, Brooks Koepka, Jordan Spieth, Hideki Matsuyama, Patrick Cantlay, and Justin Rose will tee it up. But I only think a few of those names will contend this week.

Who Will Win?

Picking the outright winner of a golf tournament is like trying to hit a 104 mph fastball, it’s hard to connect but when you do it’s a homerun! Knowing who will likely play well though can give you a fair chance at payday though. This week I am staying away from the favorites and am going back to a guy I have been on since the season restarted. Justin Rose (+2200) is 3rd on tour in approach shots between 200-225 yards, a stat that will come in handy this week. Rose also has won here before and has 7 top 10 finishes. Look for Rose’s ball-striking to vault him atop the leaderboard this week.

Victor Hovland (+2500) may be one of the more clear choices this week despite Vegas not being too high on him. Hovland’s game is so strong right now that it is not a matter of if he wins soon but rather which tournament it will be. Hovland has been striking the ball tremendously but putting horrendously. Why will this week be different? The grass. Hovland is known to be a much better putter when playing on Bentgrass and that’s what we’ve got this week. If Hovland putts well or even just slightly better than the past two weeks he will be in contention come Sunday.

Who Will Not Win

John Rahm. He will not win.

John Rahm doing his best Happy Gilmore impression

The number 2 player in the World, Rahm, has been shaky at best. This weeks course is simply not for shaky players. As hard as it is for me to say this, I don’t think Brooks Koepka will win this week either. Brooks is a very dominant player and I do expect him to play well to an outsiders standards, but not to his. In his last 7 starts he only has 1 top 10 finish and has missed 2 cuts. Now I do still think he may snag another top 10 finish this week. At (+140) for a top 10 finish, he may be worth risking a few dollars.

Who Else?

With no clear cut favorites for the 2020 Workday Charity Open, we must look at quite a few who we expect to play well and be in contention. Justin Thomas is the Vegas favorite at (+1000) to win but missed the cut just 2 weeks ago at the Travelers championship. Will he bounce back from troubling iron play? He most definitely will. Will it be this week? Thomas is a top 10 machine though and that bet would nearly be a lock if he has straightened out his swing issues.

A few more players to keep an eye on include: Patrick Cantlay (Last years winner), Matthew Wolff (2nd place last week), Joaquin Niemann, Collin Morikawa, Hideki Matsuyama (Past winner), Matt Kuchar, and Xander Schauffele.

My Picks: 2020 Workday Charity Open

To Win

  • Justin Rose (+2200)
  • Victor Hovland (+2500)

Top 5

  • Collin Morikawa (+600)
  • Matthew Wolff (+1100)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+330)
  • Xander Schauffele (+400)

Top 10

  • Brooks Koepka (+140)
  • Justin Thomas (+120)
  • Hideki Matsuyama (+150)
  • Matt Kuchar (+350)
  • Joaquin Niemann (+400)

Longshot To Win

  • Shane Lowry (+8000)

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