This years 2020 Memorial Tournament is not only the biggest tournament thus far on the PGA Tour but also one of the most interesting golf tournaments in recent golf history. This week is the second leg of back to back events being held at Muirfield Village and it is jam packed with talent. Last weeks event, won by Collin Morikawa in a playoff over Justin Thomas, proved fruitful for those who ran with our betting picks. Specifically, 3 players that we recommended placing bets on finished in the 3 top spots! Check out last weeks post to see what you missed out on.
With such a star studded field, hosting 9 of the top 10 players in the world, and an overdue big time event, the 2020 Memorial Tournament is feeling more like a Major. Players and fans are itching for a week such as this. Especially when Tiger is playing. As we said in a previous article, we don’t truly expect Tiger to win this week given how well many players are playing right now and his absence from tournament golf. Do not be mistaken however, we are talking about Tiger Woods. I will not be shocked at all if he makes a push for this tournament come Sunday. You will not make money betting against Tiger Woods.
What makes this week difficult and exciting is all of the unknowns entering the tournament. How will Tiger play at the 2020 Memorial Tournament? How will the top 10 players from last week play this week on the same course? How will Dechambeau, Webb Simpson, and Dustin Johnson play after taking some time off? I think the answers to the questions are quite simple actually and will help us make some money this week!
Who Will Not Win?
Given that we have last weeks results from Muirfield Village to help guide us for this weeks event, we will start with the players that did not play well last week. As we predicted in last weeks article, John Rahm and Brooks Koepka, both played well below their potential and were never in contention last week. That trend will most likely continue this week considering the course will be set up slightly more difficult than last week. Now, I picked Justin Rose as one of my favorites to win last week, and I was completely wrong! The ever so consistent Rose has been anything but consistent in his past few outings. It is also pretty safe to say that a majority of the players that struggled last week will have a hard time getting into contention this week and should be avoided.
Who Will Win?
Given last weeks results, it is almost impossible for me not to pick Justin Thomas (+1100) this week. He played incredible golf last week and barely got beaten in an electric playoff with Collin Morikawa. Thomas is a proven winner and will have recent experience and a chip on his shoulder. I fully expect Morikawa (+2200) to be right back into contention this week, maybe not a win however maybe just a top 5 or top 10. He most likely took a couple days off to celebrate his victory. This may effect him early Thursday but I expect him to continue his great ball striking. As we said last week, ball striking is one of the most important fundamentals to win around Muirfield Village. Here is an example of Morikawa’s ball striking last week.
Starting with one player who I thought could possibly win last week and almost did, Victor Hovland (+2400). I actually think Hovland will take a step back this week. His iron play is phenomenal and will probably get him a top 10 finish but his short game failed him Sunday when it really counted and the grass will only get taller this week. If he drastically fixed his short game, he could push for the win but that’s an “if”.
Gary Woodland, Ian Poulter, Bryson DeChambeau
Gary Woodland (+4500) is an extremely experienced player and just won the previous US Open. Woodland played well last week finishing top 5 and will use that experience to only better his placement.
Ian Poulter (+8000), similarly to Woodland, finished top 5 and being a veteran of the game I expect him to play well once again this week at Muirfield.
We can’t have a golf article in 2020 without mentioning Bryson DeChambeau (+1000), the favorite to win the tournament. Would anybody be surprised if he did win it? Of course he will play well but I’m thinking maybe just a top 15 or top 10 finish here. I believe that the players that competed here last week will ultimately feel settled in earlier and play better.
Rickie Fowler, Patrick Cantlay
Then we have 2 players that have been trending in the right direction and I expect both players to play well all week. The first is Rickie Fowler ( +4000) who has been flying under the radar the past few weeks and Abraham Ancer (+5000). Ancer has 3 straight top 15 finishes and is number 1 on tour in approach to the green in that timespan.
Patrick Cantlay (+1200) is the defending champion and after surging Sunday should be entering this week with a ton of confidence. Cantlay will have had a number of distractions this week due to being the defending champion and certain media obligations. If he can clear his head, he is in good form heading into this week.
Big Names to Stay Away From
Lastly we have a few big names that I am reluctantly staying away from this week. McIlroy (+1400), Dustin Johnson (+1700), Webb Simpson (+2200). Any 3 of these players could win a golf tournament at any time and are always worth a bet but with most of the field having played the course for an extra week, it’s hard for me to be high on these guys. They may be worth some top 10 bets though.
My Picks: 2020 Memorial Tournament
Notice the $1 and $2 notes by each bet. These represent the ratio of bet size I will be placing. The full odds can be found here.
- Justin Thomas (+1100) $2
- Gary Woodland (+4500) $1
- Justin Thomas (+250) $2
- Gary Woodland (+750) $1
- Collin Morikawa ( +450) $1
- Tiger Woods (+450) $1 – always bet on Tiger
- Justin Thomas (+120) $2
- Gary Woodland (+400) $2
- Collin Morikawa (+225) $2
- Tiger Woods (+225) $1
- Rickie Fowler (+350) $1
- Abraham Ancer (+450) $1
- Bryson DeChambeau (+110) $1
- Ian Poulter (+750) $1